EnvEcon Research | EnvEcon https://envecon.eu Consultancy & Advisory | Economic Analysis Mon, 08 Jan 2024 16:58:01 +0000 en-GB hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.5.2 https://envecon.eu/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/cropped-Untitled-design-2022-03-24T142401.857-32x32.png EnvEcon Research | EnvEcon https://envecon.eu 32 32 Transport poverty risk – A composite spatial index to support policy design and investment targeting as part of a just climate transition https://envecon.eu/project/transport-poverty-risk-a-composite-spatial-index-to-support-policy-design-and-investment-targeting-as-part-of-a-just-climate-transition/ https://envecon.eu/project/transport-poverty-risk-a-composite-spatial-index-to-support-policy-design-and-investment-targeting-as-part-of-a-just-climate-transition/#respond Mon, 08 Jan 2024 16:49:43 +0000 https://envecon.eu/?post_type=project&p=25578 The Transport Poverty Risk Index (T-PRI), designed by EnvEcon, is a composite indicator which can produce a spatially refined analysis of transport poverty risk. It allows for an informed choice by decision-makers regarding the success or possible need for adaption of a specific policy instrument. It offers the capacity to analyse changes in transport poverty risk associated with specific policy intervention proposals, including major contemporary environmental policy transitions such as fuel price changes and increased EV consumer uptake. As applied to the Irish case, it is based on both relevant literature and datasets that are routinely updated in the system.

The T-PRI represents the creation of an objective, spatially referenced measure of transport poverty risk that offers a consistent and coherent means of assessing and comparing transport poverty risk at a fine scale. It is also capable of examining the influence of a variety of dynamic drivers of change. Analysis with the T-PRI is undertaken using GIS software at Small Area (SA) level. In total, there are 18,641 SAs in Ireland, each containing, on average, 80 to 120 households.

The composite approach allows for a multidimensional analysis of transport poverty by combining, in this case, eight indicators which inform three weighted categories which relate to: Transport Accessibility (T-ACC), Transport Mobility (T-MOB), Transport Affordability (T-AFF). The three categories are combined and weighted to produce the overall T-PRI. The final T-PRI ranges from 1 (Low Transport Poverty Risk) to 10 (High Transport Poverty Risk) can then be mapped at SA Level.

The full internationally peer reviewed methodology is available here.

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Road transport electrification – Is timing everything? Implications of emissions analysis’ outcomes for climate and air policy https://envecon.eu/project/road-transport-electrification-is-timing-everything-implications-of-emissions-analysis-outcomes-for-climate-and-air-policy/ https://envecon.eu/project/road-transport-electrification-is-timing-everything-implications-of-emissions-analysis-outcomes-for-climate-and-air-policy/#respond Mon, 08 Jan 2024 16:46:40 +0000 https://envecon.eu/?post_type=project&p=25575 Targets for electrification of the road-transport sector are often set as the number of electric vehicles to be operating within the fleet by a certain date. Although there is recognition that timeframes for these transitions matter, research often focuses on total numbers and upstream power considerations. This causes uncertainty for policymakers regarding the impact of an aggressive, or deferred, incentive strategy to drive EV uptake rates at a given point in time. Using Ireland as a case study, EnvEcon (2021) explores road transport electrification scenarios with an emphasis on the timing of uptake rates, the focus on passenger or goods vehicles, and the outcomes for air and climate policy.

This methodology can support policymakers in assessing the outcomes of different EV penetration scenarios and outcomes in terms of GHGs emissions, air pollutants, and managing national progress toward international targets. It delivers a granular assessment of multiple vehicle electrification scenarios to inform the degree of urgency, scale of support, and the focus and timing of interventions appropriate for defined EV penetration ambitions. Results show that a faster electric vehicle uptake more than doubles the cumulative GHG emissions reduction by 2030. E-van and E-truck transitions are particularly important. Impacts on air pollution are modest due to the continued improvement of Euro standards. Broader vehicle choice, information campaigns, infrastructure investment, and fiscal policy incentives can all accelerate the rates of fleet change at a cost. Policy must therefore choose where, when, and how much to intervene with incentives, weighing the potential for positive emission outcomes against the level and timing of investment and supports to the market.

The full internationally peer reviewed methodology is available here.

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Targeted deployment of air source heat pump technology to deliver clean air communities and climate progress: A case study of Ireland https://envecon.eu/project/hitting-the-hotspots-targeted-deployment-of-air-source-heat-pump-technology-to-deliver-clean-air-communities-and-climate-progress-a-case-study-of-ireland/ https://envecon.eu/project/hitting-the-hotspots-targeted-deployment-of-air-source-heat-pump-technology-to-deliver-clean-air-communities-and-climate-progress-a-case-study-of-ireland/#respond Mon, 08 Jan 2024 16:44:22 +0000 https://envecon.eu/?post_type=project&p=25571 An evidence-based targeting methodology, designed by EnvEcon (2022), can be used to support synergistic policy design across climate, air, health, and just transition policy goals for the deployment of air source heat pumps (ASHPs) in Ireland. As applied to the Irish case, it is based on both relevant literature and publicly available Irish datasets that are routinely updated in the system. As outlined in CAP 21, the installation of 400,000 heat pumps in existing premises by the end of 2030 is a key element of the national strategy to decarbonise the residential sector. The replacement of natural gas, oil, and solid fuel boilers with ASHPs will be beneficial to climate objectives. However, the impact on air pollutant outcomes is increased with the replacement of solid fuel. Ambient air quality is further improved where concentrated clusters of solid-fuel use are targeted, addressing multiple policy priorities across climate, air, health, and a just transition.

This methodology spatially analyses emissions and air pollutant concentration outcomes for both targeted and non-targeted deployments of heat pumps and shows that a focused deployment of 3% of the national heat pump target on solid-fuel homes could offer similar progress on climate goals but with a substantial impact in terms of reducing air pollution hot spots. For the Irish residential heating season (October–March), the targeted solid fuel scenario delivers average PM2.5 concentration decreases of 20–34%. The results identify targeted communities as often being in areas of relative deprivation, and as such, direct support for fabric retrofitting and heat pump technology installation offers the potential to simultaneously advance climate, air, and just transition policy ambition.

The full internationally peer reviewed methodology is available here.

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Variability in total cost of vehicle ownership across vehicle and user profiles https://envecon.eu/project/variability-in-total-cost-of-vehicle-ownership-across-vehicle-and-user-profiles/ https://envecon.eu/project/variability-in-total-cost-of-vehicle-ownership-across-vehicle-and-user-profiles/#respond Mon, 08 Jan 2024 16:42:47 +0000 https://envecon.eu/?post_type=project&p=25568 Total cost of ownership (TCO) is a pricing method that seeks to discover the true cost of a specific product or service from a specific provider. EnvEcon (2020) calculates and contrasts the TCO of a range of cars and driving profiles in each policy framework of taxes, grants, and fuel prices to evaluate the prospects for accelerated EV uptake. The case study is applied in an Irish context; however, the methods and analysis are internationally transferable and can be replicated for any vehicle fleet where comparable, reliable data are available.

The methodology offers the capacity to analyse changes in TCO associated with specific policy intervention proposals, including travel patterns, car-segment pricing, taxation, grant policy, fuel costs, and carbon pricing. It is not limited to understanding how changes in certain parameters will influence TCO; it can also demonstrate how policy may design or modify interventions to manage changes and drive accelerated EV uptake rates. For example, the impact of the removal of the existing EV subsidy in a case country can be calculated to test the relevance of the current subsidy scheme for the TCOs of the selected best-selling cars and what would happen if it were removed.

The full internationally peer reviewed methodology is available here.

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Assessing preference and potential for working from anywhere: A spatial index for Ireland https://envecon.eu/project/assessing-preference-and-potential-for-working-from-anywhere-a-spatial-index-for-ireland/ https://envecon.eu/project/assessing-preference-and-potential-for-working-from-anywhere-a-spatial-index-for-ireland/#respond Mon, 08 Jan 2024 16:41:27 +0000 https://envecon.eu/?post_type=project&p=25565 The Working from Anywhere Index (WFAI), designed by EnvEcon, is a composite indicator which can produce a spatially refined analysis of feasibility to work from anywhere (WFA). It allows for an informed choice by decision makers regarding the success or possible need for adaption of a specific policy instrument. As applied to the Irish case, it is based on both relevant literature and publicly available Irish datasets that are routinely updated in the system.

Analysis with the WFAI is undertaken using GIS software at Small Area (SA) level. In total, there are 18,641 SAs in Ireland each containing, on average, 80 to 120 households. The composite approach allows for a multidimensional analysis by combining six indicators which inform two weighted categories which relate to: 1) WFA Feasibility Factors (FWFA) and 2) WFA Personal Preference Factors (PWFA). The application of the WFAI is not limited to understanding how changes in certain parameters will influence feasibility to WFA; it can also demonstrate how policy may design or modify interventions to manage changes. It can be used to assist policymakers in estimating the impact of a range of different hypothetical policies and interventions. For example, the impact of enhanced access to high-speed broadband on the WFAI.

The full internationally peer reviewed methodology is available here.

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A composite indicator for assessing home-heating energy-poverty risk and the impact of policy measures https://envecon.eu/project/enabling-a-just-transition-a-composite-indicator-for-assessing-home-heating-energy-poverty-risk-and-the-impact-of-environmental-policy-measures/ https://envecon.eu/project/enabling-a-just-transition-a-composite-indicator-for-assessing-home-heating-energy-poverty-risk-and-the-impact-of-environmental-policy-measures/#respond Mon, 08 Jan 2024 16:40:21 +0000 https://envecon.eu/?post_type=project&p=25562 The HH-EPRI is a composite indicator which can produce a spatially refined analysis of home-heating energy poverty risk. It allows for an informed choice by decision-makers regarding the success or possible need for adaption of a specific policy instrument. As applied to the Irish case, it is based on both relevant literature and publicly available Irish datasets that are routinely updated in the system.

Analysis with the HH-EPRI is undertaken using GIS software at Small Area (SA) level. In total, there are 18,641 SAs in Ireland, each containing, on average, 80 to 120 households. The composite approach allows for a multidimensional analysis of energy poverty by combining ten indicators which inform three weighted categories which relate to: 1) Heating Requirements (HR) of the building; 2) Building Characteristics (BC) and 3) Householder Characteristics (HC). The application of the HH-EPRI is not limited to understanding how changes in certain parameters will influence energy poverty; it can also demonstrate how policy may design or modify interventions to manage changes. For example, if the energy efficiency of homes in a small town is improved a number of grades on the building energy rating scale, how does this intervention affect energy demand and associated energy poverty risk?

The full internationally peer reviewed methodology is available here.

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Happy Travels? Policy Insights from Commuting Research in Dublin https://envecon.eu/project/happy-travels-policy-insights-from-commuting-research-in-dublin/ https://envecon.eu/project/happy-travels-policy-insights-from-commuting-research-in-dublin/#respond Thu, 14 Sep 2023 09:26:12 +0000 https://envecon.eu/?post_type=project&p=25502 Effectively managing transportation behaviour and services holds significant implications for climate change, air quality, health, and overall societal well-being and economy. Reducing emissions from the transport sector is a particularly challenging goal in Ireland’s climate policy. While the government aspires to promote active and mass transit modes, implementing stringent transport policies, such as taxes and bans, faces multiple hurdles.

In response, the behavioural sciences advocate for softer, psychologically-informed strategies known as “Nudges” within the broader framework of “Behavioural Public Policy.” These approaches focus on making desired behaviors, like walking and cycling, more convenient and enjoyable. When an activity is pleasant and effortless, it fosters habits, positively shapes attitudes, and influences mode choices in transportation.

Understanding commuters’ experiences is crucial for designing appealing and sustainable transport services while encouraging alternative travel modes. This policy brief draws insights from a commuter survey encompassing over 4,000 commutes to University College Dublin, a major commuting destination in Ireland. The findings hold relevance for transport policies aimed at reducing car usage and promoting walking and cycling cultures. The brief also provides recommendations for future research in this domain.

For more information, see: Happy Travels – Travel Satisfaction Brief – EnvEcon 2020

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Nudge FORGOOD – An Ethics Framework for Behavioural Policy Design https://envecon.eu/project/nudge-forgood-an-ethics-framework-for-behavioural-policy-design/ https://envecon.eu/project/nudge-forgood-an-ethics-framework-for-behavioural-policy-design/#respond Thu, 14 Sep 2023 08:53:30 +0000 https://envecon.eu/?post_type=project&p=25491 Policies aiming to influence behaviour increasingly rely on insights from behavioural sciences. Governments and other entities have adopted behavioural insights to “nudge” individuals towards better choices. Nudging has been used in various contexts, such as encouraging prompt tax payments, boosting retirement savings, and promoting environmentally friendly actions. Nudges leverage findings from psychological and behavioural sciences about decision-making in response to one’s environment. They alter the decision-making context to influence behaviour. The widespread adoption of nudging has sparked ethical discussions. These debates often revolve around the acceptability of specific nudges. However, these discussions are typically abstract, making them less accessible to practitioners who apply behavioural insights in the real world. Consequently, there is often a lack of systematic assessment of the ethics of nudging in practice. In the absence of ethical guidelines, nudging practitioners are sometimes encouraged to “nudge for good.” Despite these good intentions, the meaning of “nudge for good” may not be universally clear. As a result, ethical evaluations of specific nudges often rely on the practitioner’s moral judgment. Many nudgers aspire to nudge for good, but busy practitioners may find it challenging to address complex ethical questions about the acceptability of a given nudge.This complexity stands in contrast to the ease of designing effective nudges using behavioural science frameworks such as MINDSPACE and EAST, popularised by the UK Behavioural Insights Team. These frameworks provide memorable mnemonics, with each letter representing a behavioural science insight that practitioners can readily apply. Recognising the need for greater ease in evaluating the ethical acceptability of behaviour-change efforts, Lades and Delaney (2019) propose FORGOOD. This ethics framework synthesises the ethics of nudging debate into an accessible mnemonic, with the aim of reducing the risk of misapplication of behavioural science in applied policy contexts. FORGOOD offers a tool for considering seven core ethical dimensions when designing and implementing behavioural policies: Fairness, Openness, Respect, Goals, Opinions, other Options, and Delegation.

For more information, see: Nudge Forgood – Ethical Behavioural Policy Design – EnvEcon 2020

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Using the Day Reconstruction Method to Inform Policy: A Practical Guide https://envecon.eu/project/using-the-day-reconstruction-method-to-inform-policy-a-practical-guide/ https://envecon.eu/project/using-the-day-reconstruction-method-to-inform-policy-a-practical-guide/#respond Thu, 14 Sep 2023 08:47:24 +0000 https://envecon.eu/?post_type=project&p=25489 This guide aims to facilitate the application of naturalistic monitoring for the purpose of understanding and developing more effective behavioural policy interventions. Naturalistic monitoring involves collecting data from everyday life, observing people’s behaviours and experiences in real-world settings. The Day Reconstruction Method (DRM) is highlighted as a cost-effective tool for conducting such monitoring on a large scale. This guide is valuable for those interested in analysing everyday experiences, behaviours, or decisions in real-world contexts. However, it may not be suitable for those interested in studying stable aspects of life like attitudes or general preferences. The guide outlines the key characteristics of naturalistic monitoring, presents and discusses the DRM, and provides a six-step process for designing DRM studies. It also demonstrates how the DRM can be used to evaluate and design policy interventions with example results.

For more information, see: DRM Research Method – Guide – EnvEcon 2020

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Challenge and Compliance Report https://envecon.eu/project/challenge-and-compliance-report/ https://envecon.eu/project/challenge-and-compliance-report/#respond Thu, 14 Sep 2023 08:37:47 +0000 https://envecon.eu/?post_type=project&p=25481 The EnvEcon Challenge and Compliance (CC) Report is an annual publication that offers a comprehensive analysis of Ireland’s air and climate emissions inventory, along with forecasts for future emissions across various sectors and activities. It serves as a crucial tool for understanding Ireland’s progress toward emissions targets and the implementation of environmental policies, both on a national and international scale. The primary objective of this report is to present a structured overview of emissions data and mitigation policies in a manner that is accessible to a wide audience, including those who may not be experts in specific sectors or thematic areas. It places a strong emphasis on highlighting the interconnections, opportunities, and risks associated with emissions and mitigation policies. Additionally, the report delves into the technical intricacies of emissions reporting and compliance, particularly within the context of Ireland and the broader European landscape, shedding light on significant developments in this field.

The 2022 EnvEcon CC Report goes beyond emissions reporting and analysis. It shifts its focus to evaluate the performance of Irish policies in relation to well-defined national targets, as outlined in CAP21 and CAP23. Furthermore, it spotlights critical research conducted by EnvEcon across various sectors, offering valuable insights to guide policy decisions and actions towards 2030 and beyond. It identifies key challenges in climate mitigation, primarily in sectors like residential, road transport, and agriculture, which consistently contribute to approximately 80% of total non-ETS emissions each year. Potential solutions, including residential retrofits, EV deployment, and emission reduction measures in agriculture, are outlined. However, considerable progress is required to meet the set targets. To overcome these challenges, Ireland must continue to innovate its policies and engage in project-based initiatives, particularly in sectors like energy efficiency, transportation, and buildings. These efforts, coupled with technology-driven decarbonisation, are essential for achieving emission reduction goals. Additionally, fostering changes in behaviour and practices through incentives and non-technical initiatives is crucial. Addressing air quality is another imperative, with Ireland needing to meet emission ceilings set by the NECD for key air pollutants. The report identifies residential, transport, and agriculture as key pressure points. Policies targeting renewable electricity generation, phasing out peat and coal, residential retrofit programs, EV adoption, and innovative farming practices are expected to have a significant impact on air pollution mitigation.

The Challenge and Compliance Report serves as a valuable resource for comprehending Ireland’s progress and challenges in emissions reduction and air quality improvement. It underscores the importance of continuous policy innovation, technology adoption, and behavioural changes to achieve ambitious climate and air quality goals in the years ahead.

For more information, see: EnvEcon Challenge and Compliance Report 2022

 

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